Probabilistic Methods for Assessment of Hazard in Transportation Systems

摘要

In this paper there has been presented destruction estimation models of construction elements of aircraft in different cases of the state of readiness. The following cases have been examined:- when a diagnostic parameter indicating the state of readiness exceeds critical point- when unexpected failure occurs as a result of overload impulse- when a diagnostic parameter increases and as a result premature failure occurs- when damage can be indicated with a diagnostic parameter and an unexpected failure may occur.Differential calculus of Fokker-Planck type has been used in the model creating.