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Savings, Inflation and Economic Growth Linkages: A Re-Examination with Nigeria Data

机译:储蓄,通货膨胀与经济增长之间的联系:尼日利亚数据的重新检验

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The inter-relationship among savings, inflation and economic growth is an important conjuncture in the linkage evaluation of economic performance. Towards making them sustainable, the Nigeria government has initiated reforms, some of which in the last seven years. Despite these reforms, no study has been undertaken on the linkages among these variables with existing studies having confided themselves to looking only at the relationship between inflation and investment and the impact of inflation and economic growth. Using annual time series data from 1980-2013, this study examined the linkages among savings, inflation and economic growth in Nigeria using the 2-stage least squares (2SLS) method. The study found inflation and real interest to be negatively related with economic growth while exchange rate has positive effect on economic growth. Also economic growth, unemployment and real interest rate negatively affected inflation rate, while indirect taxes had positive impact on inflation. The result further shows that economic growth; exchange rate and foreign direct investment engender savings while depreciation rate endangers savings. The study also established threshold level of 8 percent of inflationary level was found to be consistent with Nigeria growth; beyond this point inflation will endanger growth.
机译:储蓄,通货膨胀与经济增长之间的相互关系是对经济绩效进行联动评价的重要纽带。为了使其可持续发展,尼日利亚政府已发起了一些改革,其中一些改革是在过去七年中进行的。尽管进行了这些改革,但尚未对这些变量之间的联系进行任何研究,而现有研究仅致力于研究通货膨胀与投资之间的关系以及通货膨胀与经济增长的影响。本研究使用1980年至2013年的年度时间序列数据,使用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)方法检查了尼日利亚储蓄,通货膨胀与经济增长之间的联系。研究发现,通货膨胀和实际利率与经济增长呈负相关,而汇率对经济增长具有正向影响。经济增长,失业和实际利率也对通货膨胀率产生负面影响,而间接税对通货膨胀产生积极影响。结果进一步表明经济增长。汇率和外国直接投资带来了储蓄,而折旧率则危及储蓄。该研究还确定了通货膨胀水平的8%的门槛水平与尼日利亚的增长相一致。超过这一点,通货膨胀将危害经济增长。

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