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Proposal for the Introduction of the Spatial Perspective in the Application of Global Sensitivity Analysis

机译:关于在全球敏感性分析中应用空间视角的提案

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In any model, Sensitivity Analysis (SA) is a fundamental process to improve the robustness and credibility of the results, as part of validation procedure. Generally, SA determined how the variation in the model output can be apportioned to different sources of variations, and how the given model depends upon the information fed into it. Many complex techniques of SA have been developed within the field of numerical modeling; however, they have limited applications for spatial models, as they do not consider variations in the spatial distributions of the variables included. In this research, a variation in the implementation of a Global Sensitivity Analysis (E-FAST) is proposed in order to include the spatial level. For this purpose the conventional tools available in a raster Geographical Information System (GIS) are used. The procedure has been tested in a simulation of urban growth for the Madrid Region (Spain) based on Multi-Criteria Evaluation (MCE) techniques. The results suggest that the inclusion of the spatial perspective in the application of the SA is necessary, because it can modify the factors that have a decisive influence on the results.
机译:在任何模型中,作为验证程序的一部分,灵敏度分析(SA)是提高结果的鲁棒性和可信度的基本过程。通常,SA确定如何将模型输出中的变化分配给不同的变化源,以及给定的模型如何取决于馈入其中的信息。在数值建模领域,已经开发了许多复杂的SA技术。但是,由于它们不考虑所包含变量的空间分布的变化,因此它们在空间模型中的应用受到限制。在这项研究中,提出了全球敏感性分析(E-FAST)实施方案的一种变体,以包括空间水平。为此,使用了栅格地理信息系统(GIS)中可用的常规工具。该程序已在马德里地区(西班牙)基于多标准评估(MCE)技术的城市增长模拟中进行了测试。结果表明,在SA的应用中必须包含空间角度,因为它可以修改对结果具有决定性影响的因素。

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