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Foreign Direct Investment in Real Sector and Economic Growth in Nigeria, 1986 – 2011: A Parsimonious Error Correction Model

机译:1986年至2011年尼日利亚实际部门和经济增长中的外国直接投资:简约错误修正模型

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The paper represents part of larger research agenda aimed at investigating the impact of FDI on economic growth. The study which is a sectoral analysis examined the impact of agriculture, manufacturing, mining and telecommunication sectors on economic growth for the period 1980-2011. The econometric method includes co-integration test, over-parameterized and error correction model. Results reveal that in the long run agriculture and manufacturing have negative impact on growth while mining and telecom sectors exhibit positive influence on economic growth. In the short run, results show that FDI in agricultural sector has either negative or no impact on economic growth while impact of manufacturing on growth is completely negative. On the other hand, the impact of mining and telecom sectors on growth is positive in the short run. The study recommended among other things that effort should be intensified by all levels of government, public and private sectors to revise the ugly trend where foreign investors are not keen in investing in the agricultural sector and that enabling laws guiding priority area for foreign investors where agriculture is considered topmost should be put in place. Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, Co-integration, Parsimonious Error Correction Model.
机译:该论文代表了旨在研究外国直接投资对经济增长影响的更大研究议程的一部分。该研究是一项行业分析,研究了1980-2011年间农业,制造业,采矿业和电信业对经济增长的影响。计量经济学方法包括协整检验,超参数化和误差校正模型。结果表明,从长远来看,农业和制造业对经济增长具有负面影响,而采矿和电信行业对经济增长具有正面影响。短期来看,结果表明,农业部门的外国直接投资对经济增长具有负面影响或没有影响,而制造业对增长的影响则完全为负面。另一方面,采矿和电信行业对增长的影响在短期内是积极的。该研究建议,除其他外,各级政府,公共部门和私营部门应加大力度,以纠正外国投资者不愿投资于农业部门的丑陋趋势,并应制定法律指导农业领域外国投资者的优先领域被认为是最高的应该放在适当的位置。关键词:外国直接投资,经济增长,协整,简约误差校正模型。

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