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Analysis of the Mathematical Model for the Spread of Pine Wilt Disease

机译:松萎病传播的数学模型分析

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摘要

This paper formulates and analyzes a pine wilt disease model. Mathematical analyses of the model with regard to invariance of nonnegativity, boundedness of the solutions, existence of nonnegative equilibria, permanence, and global stability are presented. It is proved that the global dynamics are determined by the basic reproduction numberℛ0and the other valueℛcwhich is larger thanℛ0. Ifℛ0andℛcare both less than one, the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable and the pine wilt disease always dies out. If one is between the two values, though the pine wilt disease could occur, the outbreak will stop. If the basic reproduction number is greater than one, a unique endemic equilibrium exists and is globally stable in the interior of the feasible region, and the disease persists at the endemic equilibrium state if it initially exists. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results, and some disease control measures are especially presented by these theoretical results.
机译:本文提出并分析了一种松萎病模型。提出了关于非负性不变性,解的有界性,非负平衡性的存在,持久性和整体稳定性的模型数学分析。证明了全局动力学是由基本再现数ℛ0和大于ℛ0的其他值ℛc决定的。如果“ 0”和“护理”都小于1,则无病平衡是渐近稳定的,并且总是会消灭松萎病。如果在两个值之间,尽管可能发生松萎病,但爆发将停止。如果基本繁殖数大于1,则存在唯一的地方病平衡,并且在可行区域内部总体稳定,并且如果疾病最初存在,则该病会以地方病平衡状态持续存在。进行了数值模拟以说明理论结果,这些理论结果特别提出了一些疾病控制措施。

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