Using the MACBETH Method to improve the scenario analysis tool PESTEL in large civil construction projects

摘要

The paper presents a methodological study performing a prioritization of the PESTEL analysis factors on the pre-construction and assembly environments of large civil engineering projects. The objective is to test if it is possible to use the decision making support methodology MACBETH to generate a hierarchy scale among criteria that might behave as a Pareto distribution. According to an expert choice, four of the ten alternatives represent 72.16% of the preference of the consulted expert. The answer does not represent a Pareto distribution, but does not invalidate the hypothesis. It is possible that the judgment of some specialist comes closer to such a phenomenon.