首页> 外文期刊>Danishgah-i Ulum-i Pizishki va Khadamat-i Bihdashti-Darmani Shahid Sadugi Yazd. Majallah >Study of Factors Related to Accidents Occuring during the Construction Phase of Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Projects
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Study of Factors Related to Accidents Occuring during the Construction Phase of Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Projects

机译:油气石化项目建设阶段发生事故的相关因素研究

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Introduction: Construction phase in industries is a dynamic process that is naturally and intrinsically dangerous and as it becomes more complicated, the accidents rate also increases. One should note that without considering a model, one could not obtain useful and reliable information and method to prevent accidents. Therefore, to achieve useful methods for preventing accidents, it is desirable to consider a model. The general goal of this study was presentation of a model. A model is the reflection of a fact. In other words, it should be said that the model represents a system or process whose behavior can be predicted. Models are therefore used for understanding the behavior of actual terminals and show a theory in the way that covers important variables for describing phenomena and instead, ignore factors of low importance in the expression of those phenomena.Methods: This study was a research article conducted in 2004-2005 in the Assaluyeh region. Data was gathered from accident reports present in security and health records of the projects and also statistics present at the treatment centers. In this study, an analytical model (multi-regression) was presented to describe the impact of effective and deep factors on the possibility of an increase in accidents leading to death, through measurement of the effects of independent variables on the dependent variables. For this purpose, the structure of 50 accidents that led to death were studied along with another 2700 accidents, and after studying the accident reports and related documents, observing operations and equipment, counseling with accident observers and an expert team of managers, supervisors and engineers, and simulation of some accidents, unsafe conditions and functions, mismanagement and use of worn out and defective tools, equipment, devices and machinery were considered as the four independent variables and the job accidents leading to death were considered as dependent variables. The relationship between independent and dependent variables, evaluation of regression coefficients and the test of different models were based on multi-regression analytical model and analyzed using Eviews software program. Results: The final findings of this study, while specifying the possibility of occurrence of accidents leading to death with the existence of any of the independent variables showed that among the independent variables, unsafe conditions and mismanagement have relatively more important roles to play in the occurrence of accidents leading to death such that in conclusion, these factors have been defined as root causes in the model. Conclusion: Since the adjusted coefficient determined for the model in this research was 0.99 that is, the specified model could describe 99 percent of changes related to the number of job accidents leading to death and it is only for one percent of other accidents that there was no justified answer. In another words, those causes were not seen in the model. Therefore, it could be concluded that this research as compared to similar researches gained more useful results. Thus, by omitting or lowering unsafe conditions and mismanagement factors, accidents resulting in deaths can be reduced.
机译:简介:工业建设阶段是一个动态的过程,它自然而然地具有内在的危险,并且随着过程变得越来越复杂,事故率也会增加。应该注意的是,如果不考虑模型,就无法获得有用且可靠的信息和方法来预防事故。因此,为了实现预防事故的有用方法,期望考虑模型。这项研究的总体目标是模型的呈现。模型是事实的反映。换句话说,应该说模型代表了可以预测其行为的系统或过程。因此,模型被用来理解实际终端的行为,并以一种涵盖了描述现象的重要变量的方式展示了一种理论,而忽略了那些现象表达中不重要的因素。 2004-2005年在Assaluyeh地区。从项目安全和健康记录中的事故报告以及治疗中心的统计数据中收集数据。在这项研究中,提出了一种分析模型(多元回归),通过测量自变量对因变量的影响来描述有效因素和深层因素对导致死亡的事故增加的可能性的影响。为此,研究了50起导致死亡的事故的结构以及另外2700起事故,并在研究了事故报告和相关文件,观察操作和设备,向事故观察员以及由管理人员,主管和工程师组成的专家小组提供咨询之后,进行了研究。 ,并模拟了一些事故,不安全的条件和功能,管理不善和使用磨损以及有缺陷的工具,设备,装置和机械作为四个独立变量,导致死亡的工伤事故被视为因变量。自变量和因变量之间的关系,回归系数的评估以及不同模型的检验均基于多元回归分析模型,并使用Eviews软件程序进行了分析。结果:这项研究的最终发现,虽然指明了存在任何自变量的情况下导致死亡的事故发生的可能性,但表明在自变量中,不安全条件和管理不当在事故发生中起着相对重要的作用导致死亡的事故,因此,总之,这些因素已被定义为模型中的根本原因。结论:由于本研究确定的模型的调整系数为0.99,因此,指定的模型可以描述与导致死亡的职业事故数量有关的99%的变化,而其他事故中只有1%没有合理的答案。换句话说,这些原因没有在模型中看到。因此,可以得出结论,与同类研究相比,该研究获得了更有益的结果。因此,通过省略或降低不安全条件和管理不当的因素,可以减少导致死亡的事故。

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