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Probabilistic inference of ecohydrological parameters using observations from point to satellite scales

机译:利用点到卫星尺度的观测值对生态水文参数进行概率推断

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Vegetation controls on soil moisture dynamics are challenging to measure and translate into scale- and site-specific ecohydrological parameters for simple soil water balance models. We hypothesize that empirical probability density functions?(pdfs) of relative soil moisture or soil saturation encode sufficient information to determine these ecohydrological parameters. Further, these parameters can be estimated through inverse modeling of the analytical equation for soil saturation pdfs, derived from the commonly used stochastic soil water balance framework. We developed a generalizable Bayesian inference framework to estimate ecohydrological parameters consistent with empirical soil saturation pdfs derived from observations at point, footprint, and satellite scales. We applied the inference method to four sites with different land cover and climate assuming (i)?an annual rainfall pattern and (ii)?a wet season rainfall pattern with a dry season of negligible rainfall. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiencies of the analytical model's fit to soil observations ranged from?0.89 to?0.99. The coefficient of variation of posterior parameter distributions ranged from
机译:对于简单的土壤水平衡模型而言,对土壤水分动态的植被控制很难衡量并转化为特定规模和特定地点的生态水文参数。我们假设相对湿度或土壤饱和度的经验概率密度函数?(pdfs)编码足以确定这些生态水文参数。此外,这些参数可以通过对土壤饱和度pdfs的解析方程进行逆建模来估算,该方程由常用的随机土壤水平衡框架得出。我们开发了可推广的贝叶斯推断框架,以估算与根据点,足迹和卫星规模的观测得出的经验性土壤饱和度pdf一致的生态水文参数。我们将推论方法应用于具有不同土地覆盖和气候的四个地点,并假设(i)?年降雨量模式和(ii)?湿季降雨量模式,而旱季降雨量可忽略不计。分析模型对土壤观测值的纳什-萨特克利夫效率在0.89至0.99之间。后验参数分布的变异系数范围为

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