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Review of recent advances in index flood estimation

机译:回顾指数洪水估算的最新进展

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Index flood estimation for regional flood frequency analysis needs to be based on the information available. The most appropriate method depends on the specific application and its choice requires a problem-oriented analysis. This paper presents a simple theoretical framework to deal with index flood estimation for a specific river site. The methodological approaches available for the purpose are reviewed. For each, the information required is specified and the reliability of the estimate, particularly desirable in risk analysis and management, is discussed. Where flood observations are lacking, indirect estimation must be undertaken using scenarios including those commonly met in hydrological practice; generally, these depend on the amount and type of information available. For each scenario, the methodologies are outlined, in order of the expected degree of complexity. After a guided analysis, an investigator can adopt the method providing the best tradeoff between effort in collecting and handling data and the resultant reliability which can be expected. style="line-height: 20px;">Keywords: direct and indirect methods, index flood estimation, reliability, scenarios.
机译:用于区域洪水频率分析的指数洪水估计需要基于可用信息。最合适的方法取决于特定的应用,其选择需要针对问题进行分析。本文提出了一个简单的理论框架来处理特定河流站点的指数洪水估算。审查了可用于该目的的方法学方法。对于每种信息,都指定了所需的信息,并讨论了估计的可靠性,这在风险分析和管理中尤其理想。在缺乏洪水观测的地方,必须使用包括水文实践中通常遇到的情景在内的情景进行间接估算;通常,这些取决于可用信息的数量和类型。对于每种情况,都按预期的复杂程度概述了方法。经过指导性分析后,研究人员可以采用该方法在收集和处理数据的努力与预期的可靠性之间提供最佳折衷。 style =“ line-height:20px;”> 关键字:直接和间接方法,索引泛洪估计,可靠性,方案。

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