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A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING APPROACH TO LIQUIFIED NATURAL GAS PLANNING

机译:液化天然气规划的随机规划方法

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This work reports on modeling and numerical experience in solving the liquefied natural gas (LNG) planning for an oil and gas company. We developed a model to optimize said purchase, optimizing the amount of LNG bought on the spot and on the long-term markets, based on the predicted demand for the planning horizon. A stochastic approach to address uncertainties related to the LNG demand and spot prices is presented. The expected cost of the operation is minimized, considering stock costs and the possibility to export the surplus gas. Numerical experiments in a real-life case are assessed.
机译:这项工作报告了在解决石油和天然气公司的液化天然气(LNG)规划中的建模和数值经验。我们基于对计划范围的预期需求,开发了一个模型,以优化所述采购,优化当场和长期市场上的LNG采购量。提出了一种随机方法来解决与液化天然气需求和现货价格有关的不确定性。考虑到库存成本和出口剩余天然气的可能性,可以将运营的预期成本降至最低。评估了实际案例中的数值实验。

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