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Predicting Multiple Functions of Sustainable Flood Retention Basins under Uncertainty via Multi-Instance Multi-Label Learning

机译:通过多实例多标签学习预测不确定性下的可持续洪灾盆地多功能

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The ambiguity of diverse functions of sustainable flood retention basins (SFRBs) may lead to conflict and risk in water resources planning and management. How can someone provide an intuitive yet efficient strategy to uncover and distinguish the multiple potential functions of SFRBs under uncertainty? In this study, by exploiting both input and output uncertainties of SFRBs, the authors developed a new data-driven framework to automatically predict the multiple functions of SFRBs by using multi-instance multi-label (MIML) learning. A total of 372 sustainable flood retention basins, characterized by 40 variables associated with confidence levels, were surveyed in Scotland, UK. A Gaussian model with Monte Carlo sampling was used to capture the variability of variables (i.e., input uncertainty), and the MIML-support vector machine (SVM) algorithm was subsequently applied to predict the potential functions of SFRBs that have not yet been assessed, allowing for one basin belonging to different types (i.e., output uncertainty). Experiments demonstrated that the proposed approach enables effective automatic prediction of the potential functions of SFRBs (e.g., accuracy 93%). The findings suggest that the functional uncertainty of SFRBs under investigation can be better assessed in a more comprehensive and cost-effective way, and the proposed data-driven approach provides a promising method of doing so for water resources management.
机译:可持续洪水保持盆地(SFRB)的多种功能含糊不清,可能导致水资源规划和管理中的冲突和风险。有人如何提供一种直观而又有效的策略来发现和区分不确定情况下SFRB的多种潜在功能?在这项研究中,作者通过利用SFRB的输入和输出不确定性,开发了一种新的数据驱动框架,通过使用多实例多标签(MIML)学习自动预测SFRB的多功能。在英国苏格兰,共调查了372个可持续蓄洪盆地,其特征是与置信度相关的40个变量。使用带有蒙特卡洛采样的高斯模型来捕获变量的可变性(即输入不确定性),随后使用MIML支持向量机(SVM)算法来预测尚未评估的SFRB的潜在功能,允许一个盆地属于不同类型(即,输出不确定性)。实验表明,该方法可以有效地自动预测SFRB的潜在功能(例如,准确度> 93%)。研究结果表明,可以更全面,更具成本效益的方式更好地评估所研究的SFRB的功能不确定性,并且所提出的数据驱动方法为水资源管理提供了一种有前途的方法。

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