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Characteristics of basin inflows a statistical analysis for long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling

机译:盆地入流特征长期/中期热液调度的统计分析

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The presented paper focuses on the characteristics of reservoir inflows and the appropriate inflow model for long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling. The goal was to find the type of distribution that best fits the observed series of monthly and weekly average inflows in most cases for a model which considers the inflows as independent random variables without time correlation. Also, the objective was to explore the correlation between the inflows during time periods (for weekly and monthly intervals, respectively), and to investigate whether the more complex model of reservoir inflow as a dependent random variable is advisable for optimal long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling. Differences in the characteristics of monthly and weekly inflows, which have been noticed during the analysis, are discussed. Numerical results are presented.
机译:本文着重于储层入流的特征以及长期/中期热液调度的合适入流模型。目标是找到一种模型,该模型在大多数情况下最适合观察到的每月和每周平均流入量系列,该模型将流入量视为独立的随机变量而没有时间相关性。此外,目标是探索时间段内(分别为每周和每月间隔)的流入量之间的相关性,并调查对于长期/中期最佳条件,是否建议采用更复杂的储层流入量模型作为因变量,长期热液调度。分析期间注意到的每月和每周流入量特征的差异。给出了数值结果。

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