...
首页> 外文期刊>The Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research >Axiomatising Incomplete Preferences through Sets of Desirable Gambles
【24h】

Axiomatising Incomplete Preferences through Sets of Desirable Gambles

机译:通过一组期望的赌博公理不完整的偏好

获取原文

摘要

We establish the equivalence of two very general theories the first is the decision-theoretic formalisation of incomplete preferences based on the mixture independence axiom; the second is the theory of coherent sets of desirable gambles (bounded variables) developed in the context of imprecise probability and extended here to vector-valued gambles. Such an equivalence allows us to analyse the theory of incomplete preferences from the point of view of desirability. Among other things, this leads us to uncover an unexpected and clarifying relation that the notion of `state independence'---the traditional assumption that we can have separate models for beliefs (probabilities) and values (utilities)---coincides with that of `strong independence' in imprecise probability; this connection leads us also to propose much weaker, and arguably more realistic, notions of state independence. Then we simplify the treatment of complete beliefs and values by putting them on a more equal footing. We study the role of the Archimedean condition---which allows us to actually talk of expected utility---, identify some weaknesses and propose alternatives that solve these. More generally speaking, we show that desirability is a valuable alternative foundation to preferences for decision theory that streamlines and unifies a number of concepts while preserving great generality. In addition, the mentioned equivalence shows for the first time how to extend the theory of desirability to imprecise non-linear utility, thus enabling us to formulate one of the most powerful self-consistent theories of reasoning and decision-making available today.
机译:我们建立了两个非常笼统的理论的等价性,第一是基于混合独立公理的不完全偏好的决策理论形式化;第二种是在不精确概率的背景下发展的期望赌博(有界变量)的连贯集合的理论,在此将其扩展到矢量值的赌博。这样的等价关系使我们能够从可取性的角度分析不完全偏好的理论。除其他外,这使我们发现了一个意想不到的澄清关系,即“国家独立”的概念(即我们可以为信念(概率)和价值(效用)建立单独模型的传统假设)与此相关。不确定概率中的“强烈独立性”;这种联系使我们也提出了更弱,可以说更现实的国家独立概念。然后,我们通过将完整的信念和价值观置于更加平等的立场上,简化了对它们的处理。我们研究了阿基米德条件的作用-允许我们实际谈论期望的效用-,确定了一些弱点并提出了解决这些弱点的替代方法。从更一般的意义上讲,我们表明,期望性是决策理论偏好的有价值的替代基础,决策理论可以在保持极大通用性的同时简化和统一许多概念。此外,上述等效性首次显示了如何将可取性理论扩展到不精确的非线性效用,从而使我们能够制定当今可用的最强大的自洽推理和决策理论之一。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号