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首页> 外文期刊>The International Journal of Applied Economics and Finance >Volatility Regimes and Calendar Anomaly in Foreign Exchange Market
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Volatility Regimes and Calendar Anomaly in Foreign Exchange Market

机译:外汇市场的波动率制度和日历异常

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Well-documented financial market, particularly stock market anomalies question the efficiency of financial market and hence hint towards inadequacy of the underlying model. Literature on foreign exchange market anomalies, either apparent or real, however, has not been so extensive. Due to its large trading activities, the foreign exchange market is often taken to be a liquid and efficient one. The issue of foreign exchange market efficiency is important as the prices of foreign assets, goods and factors of production depend largely on the changes in exchange rates. This paper, while addressing this issue explores the possible presence of calendar anomaly, specifically the day-of-the-week effect in the Indian Rupee-US Dollar exchange rate volatility over a period of January 1998 to April 2010. The emphasis on foreign exchange volatility stems from its huge impact on real economy, other financial markets, capital gain or losses from exchange rate changes and government intervention. With its aim to look for the presence of calendar anomaly to assess the impact of daily transaction mechanism on volatility, the study further explores the changing nature of calendar anomaly over the different volatility regimes. Such exploration will check whether calendar anomaly is a mere statistical aberration and time specific phenomenon. Using the ICSS test, the study finds five volatility regimes and strong presence of day-of-the week effect could be documented during the phases of high volatility. However, the Monday and Tuesday effects remained in all but one volatility regimes.
机译:有据可查的金融市场,尤其是股票市场异常情况,对金融市场的效率提出了质疑,从而暗示了基础模型的不足。然而,关于外汇市场异常的文献,无论是表面的还是真实的,都还没有广泛地涉及到。由于其大量的交易活动,外汇市场通常被认为是一种流动和高效的市场。外汇市场效率问题很重要,因为外国资产,商品和生产要素的价格在很大程度上取决于汇率的变化。本文在解决此问题的同时,探讨了日历异常的可能存在,特别是1998年1月至2010年4月期间印度卢比兑美元汇率波动的星期几效应。强调外汇波动性源于其对实体经济,其他金融市场的巨大影响,汇率变动和政府干预造成的资本损益。为了寻找日历异常的存在以评估每日交易机制对波动率的影响,本研究进一步探讨了日历异常在不同波动率制度下的变化性质。这样的探索将检查日历异常是否仅仅是统计偏差和特定于时间的现象。使用ICSS测试,该研究发现了五种波动率制度,并且在高波动性阶段可以记录周日效应的强烈存在。但是,除了一种波动率制度外,星期一和星期二的影响仍然存在。

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