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The cyclical behavior of equity turnover

机译:股权周转的周期性行为

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We measure the extent to which the cyclical behavior of the turnover of equity shares generated by individual investors on the New York Stock Exchange can be accounted for by a single source of trade embedded in a neoclassical growth economy with dynamically complete markets. The source of trade is heterogeneity in agents' financial wealth. In the post‐war United States, turnover has been more than seven times as volatile as output and has exhibited asynchronous cyclical characteristics: lagged turnover has co‐varied positively with output and led turnover negatively. The baseline model, calibrated to match the mean behavior of asset returns and the distribution of wealth across households, accounts for 29% of the level of turnover observed in the data and 22% of the volatility. The asynchronous relationship observed between turnover and output is puzzling.
机译:我们衡量了纽约证券交易所散户投资者所产生的股票交易量周期性行为的程度,可以通过嵌入在具有动态完整市场的新古典增长型经济中的单一贸易来源来解释。贸易的来源是代理商财务财富的异质性。在战后美国,营业额的波动性是产出的七倍以上,并且表现出异步的周期性特征:滞后营业额与产出呈正相关,而导致营业额呈负相关。基准模型经过校准以匹配资产收益的平均行为和家庭之间的财富分配,占数据中观察到的营业额水平的29%和波动率的22%。营业额与产出之间的异步关系令人困惑。

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