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The Impact of Countries’ Roles on the International Photovoltaic Trade Pattern: The Complex Networks Analysis

机译:国家角色对国际光伏贸易格局的影响:复杂网络分析

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The expansion of the international PV trade encourages governments to focus on their trade roles in this market, which has increasing impact on their future development of sustainable energy. Thus, an exploration of top traders and their influence on global PV trade pattern is essential as governments seek to develop strategies to improve their global PV market’s discourse power. This study introduces the complex network theory to examine top traders whose default would lead to the collapse of trade pattern and their impactful ways. Moreover, the potential structural reason for top traders’ influence on trade is explored via link prediction. We find that a group of European countries account for 80% of global importation and are the most influential traders and bridges; a group of Asian countries are among the top exporters with half of the global share; and European countries’ high influence is due to their large number of trade partners instead of their trade volume. Above all, a high number of trade partners is more important than trade volume for countries seeking to be top traders. Finally, we discuss these results given the recent promising development of international PV trade.
机译:国际光伏贸易的扩大鼓励各国政府将精力集中在该市场上的贸易角色上,这对其未来的可持续能源发展产生越来越大的影响。因此,在各国政府寻求制定战略以提高其全球光伏市场话语权的过程中,对顶级交易员及其对全球光伏贸易模式的影响进行探索至关重要。这项研究引入了复杂的网络理论来研究顶级交易者,这些交易者的违约将导致贸易模式的崩溃及其影响方式。此外,通过链接预测来探究顶级交易者对贸易影响的潜在结构性原因。我们发现,一组欧洲国家占全球进口量的80%,是最具影响力的贸易商和桥梁。一组亚洲国家是最大的出口国,占全球份额的一半;欧洲国家之所以具有较高的影响力,是因为它们拥有大量的贸易伙伴,而不是贸易量。最重要的是,对于寻求成为顶级贸易商的国家来说,大量的贸易伙伴比贸易量更为重要。最后,鉴于最近国际光伏贸易的发展前景,我们将讨论这些结果。

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