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首页> 外文期刊>South African journal of industrial engineering >QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE METHODS IN RISK-BASED RELIABILITY ASSESSING UNDER EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTY
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QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE METHODS IN RISK-BASED RELIABILITY ASSESSING UNDER EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTY

机译:不确定性下基于风险的可靠性评估中的定量和定性方法

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The overall objective of the reliability allocation is to increase the profitability of theoperation and optimise the total life cycle cost without losses from failure issues. Themethodology, called risk-based reliability (RBR), is based on integrating a reliabilityapproach and a risk assessment strategy to obtain an optimum cost and acceptable risk.This assessment integrates reliability with the smaller losses from failures issues, and so canbe used as a tool for decision-making. The approach to maximising reliability should bereplaced with the risk-based reliability assessment approach, in which reliability planning,based on risk analysis, minimises the probability of system failure and its consequences.This paper proposes a new methodology for risk-based reliability under epistemicuncertainty, using possibility theory and probability theory. This methodology is used for acase study in order to determine the reliability and risk of production systems when theavailable data are insufficient, and to help make decisions.
机译:可靠性分配的总体目标是增加运营的盈利能力并优化总生命周期成本,而不会因故障问题而造成损失。该方法被称为基于风险的可靠性(RBR),它基于可靠性方法和风险评估策略的整合,以获取最佳成本和可接受的风险,该评估方法将可靠性与因故障问题造成的较小损失相结合,因此可以用作一种工具用于决策。最大化可靠性的方法应该替换为基于风险的可靠性评估方法,其中基于风险分析的可靠性规划将系统故障及其后果的可能性降到最低。本文提出了一种基于认知不确定性的基于风险的可靠性新方法,使用可能性论和概率论。该方法用于案例研究,以便在可用数据不足时确定生产系统的可靠性和风险,并帮助做出决策。

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