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Maximum Likelihood for Cross-lagged Panel Models with Fixed Effects:

机译:具有固定效果的交叉滞后面板模型的最大可能性:

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Panel data make it possible both to control for unobserved confounders and allow for lagged, reciprocal causation. Trying to do both at the same time, however, leads to serious estimation difficulties. In the econometric literature, these problems have been solved by using lagged instrumental variables together with the generalized method of moments (GMM). Here we show that the same problems can be solved by maximum likelihood (ML) estimation implemented with standard software packages for structural equation modeling (SEM). Monte Carlo simulations show that the ML-SEM method is less biased and more efficient than the GMM method under a wide range of conditions. ML-SEM also makes it possible to test and relax many of the constraints that are typically embodied in dynamic panel models.
机译:面板数据既可以控制未观察到的混杂因素,又可以实现滞后的相互因果关系。但是,尝试同时执行这两个操作会导致严重的估计困难。在计量经济学文献中,这些问题已通过使用滞后的工具变量和广义矩量法(GMM)来解决。在这里,我们表明可以通过使用用于结构方程模型(SEM)的标准软件包实现的最大似然(ML)估计来解决相同的问题。蒙特卡洛模拟表明,在广泛的条件下,ML-SEM方法比GMM方法具有更少的偏差和更高的效率。 ML-SEM还可以测试和放宽动态面板模型中通常体现的许多约束。

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