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Validating regression models to assess factors for motorcycle accidents in Tanzania

机译:验证回归模型以评估坦桑尼亚摩托车事故的因素

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There are several ways in which regression model can be validated. One of the ways is a collection of new data to check model predictions (Snee, 1977). In Nyakyi et al. (2014) a multiple regression model was formulated, analyzed, and discussed to assess motorcycle accidents in Tanzania. The model included several factors which are wrong overtaking, legal status of not owning license, rough road, high speed, mechanical defect, personal status, experience of a driver, and tarmac road. All these factors were considered to be the causes of motorcycle accidents in Tanzania, specifically in Arusha and Kilimanjaro regions. This paper presents the analysis and discussion of the accidents problem using new data collected through questionnaire; the study's results are then compared with the results, predicted by the multiple regression models, for validation. Questionnaires were designed to access the extent to which identified factors cause motorcycle accidents, and the data is obtained from motorcycle stake holders who in this study are considered to have reliable information about motorcycle accidents in Tanzania. The results of the validation indicate that there is a good correlation between the data obtained from the questionnaire and the data produced by the regression model.
机译:有几种方法可以验证回归模型。一种方法是收集新数据以检查模型预测(Snee,1977年)。在Nyakyi等。 (2014)建立,分析和讨论了多元回归模型,以评估坦桑尼亚的摩托车事故。该模型包括错误超车,不拥有执照的法律地位,崎rough不平的道路,高速,机械缺陷,个人身份,驾驶员的经验以及柏油碎石路面的几个因素。所有这些因素被认为是坦桑尼亚,特别是在阿鲁沙和乞力马扎罗地区发生摩托车事故的原因。本文利用问卷调查收集的新数据,对事故问题进行了分析和讨论。然后将研究结果与多元回归模型预测的结果进行比较,以进行验证。设计问卷调查表的目的是为了找出导致摩托车事故的因素,并从摩托车股权持有人那里获得数据。在本研究中,摩托车持股人被认为具有坦桑尼亚摩托车事故的可靠信息。验证结果表明,从问卷中获得的数据与回归模型所产生的数据之间具有良好的相关性。

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