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Research on the Relationship Between Urbanization and the Level of Economic Development Based on Co-integration Test in Linfen City

机译:基于协整检验的临fen市城市化与经济发展水平的关系研究

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This paper mainly uses the data of urbanization rate in urban area obtained 1990-2014 and the sequential data of per capita GDP of Linfen City in Shanxi Province. And the result shows that there exists a long-term equilibrium stage between the urbanization level and economic growth through the way of unit root test and Johansen cointegration test. And then Granger causality test has been conducted on this basis and it shows that the urbanization development greatly affects on the economic growth while the effect is not obvious in return. This conclusion maybe due to the unreasonable industrial structure in Linfen city, thus it is necessary for Linfen to optimize the industrial structure further and accelerate the development of tertiary industry.
机译:本文主要利用1990-2014年获得的城镇地区城市化率数据和山西临City市人均GDP序列数据。结果表明,通过单位根检验和约翰逊协整检验,城市化水平与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡阶段。在此基础上进行了格兰杰因果关系检验,表明城市化发展对经济增长的影响很大,但效果不明显。这一结论可能是由于临fen市产业结构不合理,因此临Lin市有必要进一步优化产业结构,促进第三产业发展。

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