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Dramatic declines in snowpack in the western US

机译:美国西部积雪的急剧减少

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Mountain snowpack stores a significant quantity of water in the western US, accumulating during the wet season and melting during the dry summers and supplying much of the water used for irrigated agriculture, and municipal and industrial uses. Updating our earlier work published in 2005, we find that with 14 additional years of data, over 90% of snow monitoring sites with long records across the western US now show declines, of which 33% are significant (vs. 5% expected by chance) and 2% are significant and positive (vs. 5% expected by chance). Declining trends are observed across all months, states, and climates, but are largest in spring, in the Pacific states, and in locations with mild winter climate. We corroborate and extend these observations using a gridded hydrology model, which also allows a robust estimate of total western snowpack and its decline. We find a large increase in the fraction of locations that posted decreasing trends, and averaged across the western US, the decline in average April 1 snow water equivalent since mid-century is roughly 15–30% or 25–50 km3, comparable in volume to the West’s largest man-made reservoir, Lake Mead.
机译:山区积雪在美国西部存储大量水,在雨季蓄积,在干燥的夏季融化,并提供大量用于灌溉农业,市政和工业用途的水。更新我们在2005年发布的早期工作后,我们发现在另外14年的数据中,美国西部超过90%长期记录的降雪监测站点现在显示下降,其中33%显着(偶然估计为5%) )和2%的内容是显着且正面的(相较于偶然的5%)。在所有月份,州和气候中都观察到下降趋势,但春季,太平洋州和冬季气候温和的地区变化趋势最大。我们使用网格水文模型证实并扩展了这些观测结果,该模型还可以对整个西方积雪及其下降进行可靠的估计。我们发现,呈下降趋势的地区比例大大增加,并且在美国西部地区平均,自本世纪中叶以来,4月1日平均雪水当量的下降幅度约为15–30%或25–50 km3,可比西方最大的人造水库米德湖。

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