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The Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy: The Brazilian Case

机译:货币政策与财政政策的相互作用:巴西案例

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We tested, empirically, whether the Brazilian fiscal policy for the period between 1995:I to 2008:III was active or passive. To analyze fiscal policy transmission mechanisms, we estimated functions by which the public debt/GDP ratio affects investment, primary surplus, output gap and the demand for money. The ratio of public debt to GDP was found to be statistically significant, positively affecting the demand for money and the primary surplus, whereas it was found to negatively affect the level of investment and the output gap. We conclude that the Brazilian regime was non-Ricardian in the context of fiscal dominance.
机译:我们根据经验测试了1995:I到2008:III期间的巴西财政政策是主动的还是被动的。为了分析财政政策的传导机制,我们估算了公共债务/ GDP比率影响投资,基本盈余,产出缺口和货币需求的函数。发现公共债务与国内生产总值的比率具有统计意义,对货币需求和基本盈余产生积极影响,而对投资水平和产出缺口则产生负面影响。我们得出结论,在财政支配地位的背景下,巴西政权是非里卡德主义的。

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