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Prediction of a Newbuilding Proce of the Bulk Carriers based on Gross Tonnage GT and Main Engine Power

机译:基于总吨位GT和主机功率的散货船新造船价格预测

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The paper presents mathematical relationships that allow us to forecast the newbuilding price of new bulk carriers, based on data concerning vessels built in 2005-2015. The presented approximations allow us to estimate the price based on a gross tonnage capacity and a main engine power The approximations were developed using linear regression and the theory of artificial neural networks. The presented relations have practical application for estimation of bulk carrier newbuilding price needed in preliminary parametric design of the ship. It follows from the above that the use of artificial neural networks to predict the price of a bulk carrier brings more accurate solutions than linear regression.
机译:本文介绍了数学关系式,使我们能够根据有关2005-2015年建造船只的数据来预测新散货船的新造船价格。提出的近似值使我们能够基于总吨位容量和主机功率估算价格。近似值是使用线性回归和人工神经网络理论开发的。所提出的关系在船舶初步参数设计中所需的散货船新造船价格估算中具有实际应用价值。由上可知,使用人工神经网络预测散货船的价格要比线性回归带来更准确的解决方案。

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