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Currency crises, trade and geography: spatial dimensions of contagion

机译:货币危机,贸易和地理:传染的空间维度

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Using spatial econometric techniques to decompose the magnitude of contagion for currency crises, currency stabilities and exchange market pressure, I estimate the extent to which shocks in a country’s exchange market can affect other countries’. There is a consensus among researchers on trade and geography as possible channels. However, while trade linkages have been investigated empirically, geographic linkages have not. This study help explain why, during crises, some geographic regions are affected while others are not. I also find that contagion is not only crises phenomenon; while trade spreads currency crises, it has a much larger positive spillover during strong and stable currency periods.
机译:我使用空间计量经济学技术分解了因货币危机,货币稳定和外汇市场压力而传染的程度,我估计了一个国家的外汇市场震荡会在多大程度上影响其他国家。在研究人员之间关于贸易和地理的共识是可能的渠道。但是,尽管已经对贸易联系进行了实证研究,但没有地理联系。这项研究有助于解释为什么在危机期间某些地理区域受到影响,而其他地理区域没有受到影响。我还发现,传染不仅是危机现象,而且是危机现象。尽管贸易传播了货币危机,但在强劲而稳定的货币时期,它具有更大的正溢出效应。

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