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Temporal Shape Changes and Future Trends in European Automotive Design

机译:欧洲汽车设计的时间形态变化和未来趋势

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Evolution produces genuine novelty in morphology through the selection of competing designs as phenotypes. When applied to human creativity, the evolutionary paradigm can provide insight into the ways that our technology and its design are modified through time. The shape of European utilitarian cars in the past 60 years was analyzed in order to determine whether changes occur in a gradual fashion or through saltation, clarifying which are the more conserved and more variable parts of the designs. We also attempted to predict the future appearances of the cars within the next decade, discussing all results within the framework of relevant evolutionary-like equivalences. Here, we analyzed the modification in the shape of European utilitarian cars in the past 60 years by three-dimensional geometric morphometrics to test whether these changes occurred in a gradual or more saltatory fashion. The geometric morphometric shape analysis showed that even though car brands have always been preserving distinct shapes, all followed a gradual pattern of evolution which is now converging toward a more similar fusiform and compact asset. This process was described using Darwinian evolution as a metaphor to quantify and interpret changes over time and the societal pressures promoting them.
机译:通过选择竞争性设计作为表型,Evolution在形态学上产生了真正的新颖性。当应用于人类创造力时,进化范式可以洞察我们的技术及其设计随时间而变化的方式。分析了过去60年来欧洲实用车的形状,以确定变化是逐渐发生还是通过盐化发生,从而阐明哪些是设计中最保守且变化更多的部分。我们还试图预测汽车在未来十年内的外观,并在类似进化论的等价物的框架内讨论所有结果。在这里,我们通过三维几何形态计量学分析了过去60年来欧洲实用车的形状变化,以测试这些变化是否以渐进或渐进的方式发生。几何形态的形状分析表明,即使汽车品牌一直都保留着不同的形状,但所有汽车品牌都遵循渐进的演变模式,如今正逐渐趋向于类似的梭形和紧凑型资产。人们用达尔文进化论作为比喻来描述这一过程,以量化和解释随着时间的推移而发生的变化以及促进这些变化的社会压力。

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