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A high-resolution ocean and sea-ice modelling system for the Arctic and North Atlantic oceans

机译:北极和北大西洋的高分辨率海洋和海冰建模系统

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As part of the CONCEPTS (Canadian Operational Network of CoupledEnvironmental PredicTion Systems) initiative, a high-resolution(1/12°) ice–ocean regional model is developed covering the NorthAtlantic and the Arctic oceans. The long-term objective is to provide Canadawith short-term ice–ocean predictions and hazard warnings in ice-infestedregions. To evaluate the modelling component (as opposed to the analysis –or data-assimilation – component, which is not covered in thiscontribution), a series of hindcasts for the period 2003–2009 is carriedout, forced at the surface by the Canadian GDPS reforecasts (Smith et al., 2014). Thesehindcasts test how the model represents upper ocean characteristics and icecover. Each hindcast implements a new aspect of the modelling or theice–ocean coupling. Notably, the coupling to the multi-category ice modelCICE is tested. The hindcast solutions are then assessed using a verificationpackage under development, including in situ and satellite ice and oceanobservations. The conclusions are as follows: (1) the model reproduces reasonably wellthe time mean, variance and skewness of sea surface height; (2) the modelbiases in temperature and salinity show that while the mean properties followexpectations, the Pacific Water signature in the Beaufort Sea is weaker thanobserved; (3) the modelled freshwater content of the Arctic agreeswell with observational estimates; (4) the distribution and volume of the seaice are shown to be improved in the latest hindcast due to modifications tothe drag coefficients and to some degree to the ice thickness distributionavailable in CICE; (5) nonetheless, the model still overestimates theice drift and ice thickness in the Beaufort Gyre.
机译:作为CONCEPTS(加拿大耦合环境预测系统操作网络)计划的一部分,开发了覆盖北大西洋和北冰洋的高分辨率(1/12°)冰海区域模型。长期目标是向加拿大提供冰灾地区的短期冰洋预报和灾害预警。为了评估建模组件(与本报告未涵盖的分析或数据同化组件相对,),对2003-2009年进行了一系列后继预报,这些后继预报是由加拿大GDPS的重新预报(从表面上推导出来的)( Smith等,2014)。这些幕后花絮测试了该模型如何代表上层海洋特征和冰盖。每个后遗症都实现了建模或海冰耦合的新方面。值得注意的是,已测试了与多类别冰模型CICE的耦合。然后使用正在开发的验证包对后播解决方案进行评估,包括原位和卫星冰与海洋观测。结论如下:(1)该模型能较好地再现海平面高度的时间均值,方差和偏度。 (2)温度和盐度的模型偏差表明,尽管平均性质遵循预期,但波弗特海的太平洋水域特征比观测到的要弱。 (3)北极的模拟淡水含量与观测值吻合; (4)由于修改了阻力系数,并在一定程度上改变了CICE中可用的冰厚分布,最新的后铸物中的海冰分布和体积得到了改善; (5)尽管如此,该模型仍高估了博福特涡流中的冰漂移和冰厚。

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