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Spatial Distribution and Source Apportionment of Air Pollutionin Bahrain using Multivariate Analysis Methods

机译:多元分析方法在巴林空气污染的空间分布和源解析

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The objective of this study is to identify the most important air pollutants based on theirindividual contribution to Air Quality Index (AQI) and to determine the major air pollutionsources in Bahrain. Data sets from seventeen air quality monitoring sites were evaluated usingXLSTAT 2014 and Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS 22) over six-and-half-yearbetween July 2006 and December 2012. Hierarchical Agglomerative Cluster Analysis (HACA)categorized the monitoring sites into three distinctive clusters based on similarities of airpollutants characteristics and meteorological parameters. Principal Component Analysis (PCA)identified major sources of air pollution in each cluster. Results demonstrated that dust storms,industrial activities, vehicular emissions, airport activities, power plants and filling stationswere major air polluters. PCA analysis showed that temperature and wind speed have positiveloading while relative humidity has negative loading. Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) analysiswas applied to develop models for prediction of AQI for every cluster based on concentrationsof key air pollutants. Results showed PM 10 and PM 2.5 highly contributed to AQI values. MLRmodels exhibited good fit with adjusted R 2 value of 0.865, 0.794 and 0.842 for Clusters 1, 2 and3 respectively. Standardized coefficient values for PM 10 succeeded by PM 2.5 were the highestin each cluster.
机译:这项研究的目的是根据对空气质量指数(AQI)的各自贡献来确定最重要的空气污染物,并确定巴林的主要空气污染源。在2006年7月至2012年12月的六年半中,使用XLSTAT 2014和社会科学统计软件包(SPSS 22)对来自17个空气质量监测点的数据集进行了评估。层次聚类聚类分析(HACA)将监测点分为三个根据空气污染物特征和气象参数的相似性形成独特的星团。主成分分析(PCA)确定了每个群集中的主要空气污染源。结果表明,沙尘暴,工业活动,车辆排放,机场活动,发电厂和加油站是主要的空气污染者。 PCA分析表明,温度和风速具有正负荷,而相对湿度具有负负荷。运用多元线性回归(MLR)分析来开发模型,以基于关键空气污染物的浓度预测每个群集的AQI。结果表明,PM 10和PM 2.5对AQI值有很大贡献。 MLR模型表现出良好的拟合性,对于簇1、2和3,调整后的R 2值分别为0.865、0.794和0.842。 PM 2.5之后的PM 10的标准化系数值在每个群集中最高。

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