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Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth – The Nigerian Experience

机译:金融自由化与经济增长–尼日利亚的经验

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The financial liberalization literature assumed that the removal of government control and restrictions on the workings of the financial market would stimulate higher savings as interest rate would be more market driven. The higher savings would enhance greater investment in the classical Keynesian fashion of savings being equal to investment. The increase in investment would lead to economic development and growth all other things being equal. Therefore, according to the main tenets of the financial liberalization literature, we should expect to see higher saving rates (as well as higher levels of investment and economic growth) following financial liberalization. Is this the case in Nigeria? To establish this, the study employs an empirical examination using the Johansen Co-integration test and the Error Correction Mechanism (ECM). Annual time series data were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin for the period 1987 to 2012 on the variables used for the study. The results obtained from the econometric modeling shows the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables and co-integration equation at 5% significance level. The Error Correction Mechanism shows a very high coefficient of multiple determinations in both the Over-parameterized and the Parsimonious Models. However, the descriptive statistics shows that financial liberalization has impacted minimally on economic growth in Nigeria for the period under review. The particular sequencing of the liberalization process and the hostile macroeconomic environment in Nigeria over the years has combined to minimize the expected benefits of financial liberalization. The authors recommend that government should promote monetary stability, ensure sound macroeconomic environment and provide critical infrastructures to enable the economy grow in a sustainable manner. Keywords: Financial Liberalization, Investment, Economic Development, Economic Growth
机译:金融自由化文献认为,取消政府控制权和限制金融市场运作将刺激储蓄增加,因为利率将更多地由市场驱动。更高的储蓄将以经典的凯恩斯主义储蓄等同于投资的方式增加更多的投资。在其他所有条件不变的情况下,投资的增加将导致经济发展和增长。因此,根据金融自由化文献的主要原则,我们应该期望在金融自由化之后看到更高的储蓄率(以及更高的投资和经济增长水平)。尼日利亚就是这种情况吗?为了确定这一点,本研究采用了约翰逊协整检验和纠错机制(ECM)进行的经验检验。年度时间序列数据是从1987年至2012年尼日利亚中央统计公报获得的,该数据用于研究。从计量经济学模型获得的结果表明,变量和协整方程之间的长期平衡关系存在于5%的显着性水平。误差校正机制在超参数化模型和简约模型中均显示出很高的多重确定系数。但是,描述性统计数据表明,在本报告所述期间,金融自由化对尼日利亚的经济增长影响最小。多年来,尼日利亚对自由化进程的特殊顺序和不利的宏观经济环境相结合,使金融自由化的预期收益最小化。作者建议政府应促进货币稳定,确保良好的宏观经济环境并提供关键基础设施,以使经济以可持续的方式增长。关键字:金融自由化,投资,经济发展,经济增长

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