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Early snowmelt events: detection, distribution, and significance in a major sub-arctic watershed

机译:早期融雪事件:主要的亚北极流域的探测,分布和意义

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High latitude drainage basins are experiencing higher average temperatures, earlier snowmelt onset in spring, and an increase in rain on snow (ROS) events in winter, trends that climate models project into the future. Snowmelt-dominated basins are most sensitive to winter temperature increases that influence the frequency of ROS events and the timing and duration of snowmelt, resulting in changes to spring runoff. Of specific interest in this study are early melt events that occur in late winter preceding melt onset in the spring. The study focuses on satellite determination and characterization of these early melt events using the Yukon River Basin (Canada/USA) as a test domain. The timing of these events was estimated using data from passive (Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer—EOS (AMSR-E)) and active (SeaWinds on Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT)) microwave remote sensors, employing detection algorithms for brightness temperature (AMSR-E) and radar backscatter (QuikSCAT). The satellite detected events were validated with ground station meteorological and hydrological data, and the spatial and temporal variability of the events across the entire river basin was characterized. Possible causative factors for the detected events, including ROS, fog, and positive air temperatures, were determined by comparing the timing of the events to parameters from SnowModel and National Centers for Environmental Prediction North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) outputs, and weather station data. All melt events coincided with above freezing temperatures, while a limited number corresponded to ROS (determined from SnowModel and ground data) and a majority to fog occurrence (determined from NARR). The results underscore the significant influence that warm air intrusions have on melt in some areas and demonstrate the large temporal and spatial variability over years and regions. The study provides a method for melt detection and a baseline from which to assess future change.
机译:高纬度流域正在经历较高的平均温度,春季出现较早的融雪,冬季出现的雪上雨雪(ROS)事件增加,这是气候模型预测的趋势。融雪为主的盆地对冬季温度升高最敏感,冬季温度升高会影响ROS事件的频率以及融雪的时间和持续时间,从而导致春季径流的变化。在这项研究中特别引起关注的是早融事件,该事件发生在冬季末,春季融雪开始之前。该研究的重点是使用育空河流域(加拿大/美国)作为测试区域,对这些早期融化事件进行卫星确定和表征。这些事件的发生时间是使用被动式(高级微波扫描辐射仪(EOS)(AMSR-E))和主动式(快速散射仪上的SeaWinds(QuikSCAT))微波远程传感器的数据估算的,并采用了亮度温度检测算法(AMSR-E)和雷达反向散射(QuikSCAT)。利用地面站的气象和水文数据验证了卫星探测到的事件,并表征了整个流域事件的时空变异性。通过将事件的时间与SnowModel和美国国家环境预测中心的北美区域再分析(NARR)输出的参数以及气象站数据进行比较,确定了检测到的事件的可能原因,包括ROS,雾和正气温。 。所有的融化事件都与高于冰点的温度相吻合,而有限的数量对应于ROS(由SnowModel和地面数据确定),而大多数对应于雾的发生(由NARR确定)。结果强调了暖风入侵对某些地区的融化具有重大影响,并证明了多年来不同地区的巨大时空变化。这项研究提供了一种检测熔体的方法和一个评估未来变化的基线。

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