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Data-driven components in a model of inner-shelf sorted bedforms: a new hybrid model

机译:内架排序床架模型中的数据驱动组件:新的混合模型

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Numerical models rely on the parameterization of processes that often lack a deterministic description. In this contribution we demonstrate the applicability of using machine learning, a class of optimization tools from the discipline of computer science, to develop parameterizations when extensive data sets exist. We develop a new predictor for near-bed suspended sediment reference concentration under unbroken waves using genetic programming, a machine learning technique. We demonstrate that this newly developed parameterization performs as well or better than existing empirical predictors, depending on the chosen error metric. We add this new predictor into an established model for inner-shelf sorted bedforms. Additionally we incorporate a previously reported machine-learning-derived predictor for oscillatory flow ripples into the sorted bedform model. This new "hybrid" sorted bedform model, whereby machine learning components are integrated into a numerical model, demonstrates a method of incorporating observational data (filtered through a machine learning algorithm) directly into a numerical model. Results suggest that the new hybrid model is able to capture dynamics previously absent from the model – specifically, two observed pattern modes of sorted bedforms. Lastly we discuss the challenge of integrating data-driven components into morphodynamic models and the future of hybrid modeling.
机译:数值模型依赖于通常缺乏确定性描述的过程的参数化。在这一贡献中,我们证明了使用机器学习(一种来自计算机科学领域的优化工具)来开发存在大量数据集的参数化的适用性。我们使用遗传编程(一种机器学习技术)为连续波下的近床悬浮沉积物参考浓度开发了一种新的预测器。我们证明,根据选择的误差度量,这种新开发的参数化的性能要比现有的经验预测器好或更好。我们将此新的预测变量添加到已建立的用于内架排序床形的模型中。此外,我们将先前报告的机器学习衍生的预测器用于振荡流波动纳入排序的床型模型中。这种将机器学习组件集成到数值模型中的新的“混合”分类床形模型,演示了一种将观察数据(通过机器学习算法过滤)直接合并到数值模型中的方法。结果表明,新的混合模型能够捕获模型中以前不存在的动力学-具体来说,是观察到的两种排序床形的模式模式。最后,我们讨论将数据驱动的组件集成到形态动力学模型中的挑战以及混合建模的未来。

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