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Animal spirits, investment and unemployment: An old Keynesian view of the Great Recession

机译:动物精神,投资与失业:凯恩斯主义对大衰退的看法

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This paper develops a DSGE model with investment and capital accumulation build along demand-driven explanations of the Great Recession. Specifically, following Farmer (2013), I set forth a search framework in which households decide about consumption while firms decide about recruiting effort as well as investment. This setting closed with market clearing in good and asset markets has one less equation than unknowns. As a consequence, in order to solve such an indeterminacy, I assume that investment is driven by self-fulfilling expectations about the adjustment cost of capital. Consistently with the view of business cycles pushed by stock price fluctuations, this model has the potential to provide a more comprehensive rationale for the consumption–investment patterns observed during the years of the crisis.
机译:本文根据需求驱动对大衰退的解释,建立了具有投资和资本积累的DSGE模型。具体而言,根据Farmer(2013),我提出了一个搜索框架,在该框架中,家庭决定消费,而企业决定招募努力和投资。在商品和资产市场中,由于市场清算而关闭的情况下,方程式要比未知数少。因此,为了解决这种不确定性,我认为投资是由对资本调整成本自我实现的期望驱动的。与股票价格波动推动的商业周期一致,这种模型有可能为危机期间观察到的消费-投资模式提供更全面的理由。

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