Testing for A Set of Linear Restrictions in VARMA Models Using Autoregressive Metric: An Application to Granger Causality Test

摘要

In this paper we propose a test for a set of linear restrictions in a Vector Autoregressive Moving Average (VARMA) model. This test is based on the autoregressive metric, a notion of distance between two univariate ARMA models, M 0 and M 1 , introduced by Piccolo in 1990. In particular, we show that this set of linear restrictions is equivalent to a null distance d ( M 0 , M 1 ) between two given ARMA models. This result provides the logical basis for using d ( M 0 , M 1 ) = 0 as a null hypothesis in our test. Some Monte Carlo evidence about the finite sample behavior of our testing procedure is provided and two empirical examples are presented.