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Developing Direct Demand AADT Forecasting Models for Small and Medium Sized Urban Communities

机译:为中小型城市社区开发直接需求AADT预测模型

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Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) is a critical input to many transportation analyses. Due to cost limitations, AADT data is not typically collected for local roads, however, the necessity of having AADT data for the purpose of making safety decisions is not diminished in the case of local roads, so a methodology was required to be able to generate AADT data in areas where manually acquiring data is not economically feasible. This research was conducted to develop models that can accurately estimate AADTs within a small or medium sized community. The models use a combination of roadway and socio-economic factors within a quarter-mile buffer of the desired count location. The models were tested using a collection of statistical tests to ensure the robustness of the models, validated to additional data collected for the community, and a transferability test of the models was performed to test the ability of the model to accurately predict across different communities of similar size. The results of the paper indicate that direct demand AADT estimation models can be accurately developed and transferred to other communities of similar size to support AADT estimation on desired roadways in different communities.
机译:年平均每日交通量(AADT)是许多交通分析的关键输入。由于成本限制,通常不会为本地道路收集AADT数据,但是,对于本地道路,为了做出安全决策而拥有AADT数据的必要性并没有减少,因此需要一种方法来生成在手动获取数据在经济上不可行的区域中的AADT数据。进行这项研究是为了开发可以准确估计中小型社区中的AADT的模型。这些模型在所需计数位置的四分之一英里缓冲区内结合了道路和社会经济因素。使用一组统计测试来测试模型,以确保模型的鲁棒性,并针对为社区收集的其他数据进行验证,并进行了模型的可传递性测试,以测试模型在不同社区之间准确预测的能力。相似的大小。本文的结果表明,直接需求AADT估算模型可以准确开发并转移到其他类似规模的社区,以支持不同社区中所需道路的AADT估算。

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