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Analysis Of Copper?s Market And Price-Focus On The Last Decade?s Change And Its Future Trend

机译:近十年来铜的市场和价格焦点分析及其未来趋势

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Abstract: it is important to analyse the major players within a copper supply chain, as well as current market dynamics, relevant international guidelines, major impacts affecting the sustainability of the whole system and policy drivers affecting its price on the global market. Focusis on understanding major and provisional factors affecting copper price on themarket,long-term copper prices are determined by the fundamentals of supply and demand. Short term however, are driven by financial market and other variables. Through analysis of the major factors and present market dynamics, global copper consumption increased since 1970, regardless of the economic slump in 2007-2009, growth is likely to continuechiefly driven by increasing demand in China and India. Since 2004 the price of copper on the global market increased drastically, its consumption was mainly concentrated in developed industrial countries. The economic situation of developed countries has a greater impact on copper prices, addition of Asian nation's increased urbanization and industrialization. Forecasts remain progressive asAsia advance with urbanization and industrializationplans. Anticipated to account for a major growth in global copper in the next 20 years, will present a large task to double copper supply output. Urbanization and industrialization will continue to surge copper demand, projected to overcome global copper production, high demandbut lesser supply on the market.The decline of copper supply would cause a mountingdeficit in turn increase demand by 2025. Asia's level of economic activity and urbanization is far from complete, it will be a chief source of copper demand in the decades to come.
机译:摘要:分析铜供应链中的主要参与者,以及当前的市场动态,相关的国际准则,影响整个系统可持续性的主要影响以及影响其价格在全球市场上的政策驱动因素,这一点很重要。重点是了解影响市场上铜价的主要和临时性因素,长期铜价由供需基本面决定。但是,短期是受金融市场和其他变量驱动的。通过分析主要因素和当前的市场动态,自1970年以来,全球铜消费量一直增长,无论2007年至2009年的经济萧条如何,中国和印度的需求增长都可能继续推动铜的增长。自2004年以来,全球市场上的铜价急剧上涨,其消费主要集中在发达的工业化国家。发达国家的经济状况对铜价产生了更大的影响,此外,亚洲国家的城市化和工业化程度也在提高。随着亚洲随着城市化和工业化计划的推进,预测仍在不断进行。预计将在未来20年内占全球铜的主要增长,这将是使铜供应产量增加一倍的重大任务。城镇化和工业化将继续推动铜需求激增,预计将克服全球铜产量,高需求但市场供应减少的情况。铜供应的下降将导致赤字的增加,进而到2025年增加需求。亚洲的经济活动水平和城市化程度仍然很高从完整的角度来看,它将是未来几十年铜需求的主要来源。

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