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Application of an Analytical Model to Obtain Daily Flow Duration Curves for Different Hydrological Regimes in Switzerland

机译:应用分析模型获得瑞士不同水文地区日流量持续时间曲线

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This work assesses the performance of an analytical model framework to generate daily flow duration curves, FDCs, based on climatic characteristics of the catchments and on their streamflow recession coefficients. According to the analytical model framework, precipitation is considered to be a stochastic process, modeled as a marked Poisson process, and recession is considered to be deterministic, with parameters that can be computed based on different models. The analytical model framework was tested for three case studies with different hydrological regimes located in Switzerland: pluvial, snow-dominated and glacier. For that purpose, five time intervals were analyzed (the four meteorological seasons and the civil year) and two developments of the model were tested: one considering a linear recession model and the other adopting a nonlinear recession model. Those developments were combined with recession coefficients obtained from two different approaches: forward and inverse estimation. The performance of the analytical framework when considering forward parameter estimation is poor in comparison with the inverse estimation for both, linear and nonlinear models. For the pluvial catchment, the inverse estimation shows exceptional good results, especially for the nonlinear model, clearing suggesting that the model has the ability to describe FDCs. For the snow-dominated and glacier catchments the seasonal results are better than the annual ones suggesting that the model can describe streamflows in those conditions and that future efforts should focus on improving and combining seasonal curves instead of considering single annual ones.
机译:这项工作根据集水区的气候特征及其流量衰退系数,评估了分析模型框架生成每日流量持续时间曲线FDC的性能。根据分析模型框架,降水被认为是随机过程,被建模为显着的泊松过程,衰退被认为是确定性的,其参数可以基于不同的模型进行计算。该分析模型框架针对位于瑞士的不同水文体制的三个案例研究进行了测试:冲积型,以雪为主的和冰川型。为此,分析了五个时间间隔(四个气象季节和一个民用年),并测试了该模型的两个发展:一个考虑了线性衰退模型,另一个考虑了非线性衰退模型。这些发展与通过两种不同方法获得的衰退系数相结合:正向和反向估计。与线性和非线性模型的逆估计相比,考虑前向参数估计时,分析框架的性能较差。对于小河流域,反估计显示出优异的良好结果,尤其是对于非线性模型,这表明该模型具有描述FDC的能力。对于以雪为主的冰川流域,季节性结果要优于年度流域,这表明该模型可以描述这些条件下的水流,未来的工作应着重于改善和合并季节性曲线,而不是考虑单个年度流域。

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