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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >Predicting the Probability of Failure of Cementitious Sewer Pipes Using Stochastic Finite Element Method
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Predicting the Probability of Failure of Cementitious Sewer Pipes Using Stochastic Finite Element Method

机译:用随机有限元方法预测水泥排水管的失效概率

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摘要

In this paper, a stochastic finite element method (SFEM) is employed to investigate the probability of failure of cementitious buried sewer pipes subjected to combined effect of corrosion and stresses. A non-linear time-dependant model is used to determine the extent of concrete corrosion. Using the SFEM, the effects of different random variables, including loads, pipe material, and corrosion on the remaining safe life of the cementitious sewer pipes are explored. A numerical example is presented to demonstrate the merit of the proposed SFEM in evaluating the effects of the contributing parameters upon the probability of failure of cementitious sewer pipes. The developed SFEM offers many advantages over traditional probabilistic techniques since it does not use any empirical equations in order to determine failure of pipes. The results of the SFEM can help the concerning industry (e.g., water companies) to better plan their resources by providing accurate prediction for the remaining safe life of cementitious sewer pipes.
机译:本文采用随机有限元方法(SFEM)来研究在腐蚀和应力共同作用下水泥埋管的失效概率。非线性时变模型用于确定混凝土腐蚀的程度。使用SFEM,研究了包括负荷,管道材料和腐蚀在内的不同随机变量对水泥污水管剩余安全寿命的影响。给出了一个数值示例,以证明所提出的SFEM在评估贡献参数对水泥下水道失效概率的影响方面的优点。与传统的概率技术相比,已开发的SFEM具有许多优势,因为它不使用任何经验方程式来确定管道的故障。 SFEM的结果可通过提供水泥下水道的剩余安全寿命的准确预测来帮助相关行业(例如自来水公司)更好地计划其资源。

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