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机译:剧情简介

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The objective of this study is toanalyse NSE 500 frms’ risk-attitudesfrom a behavioural perspective,specifcally in light of Bowman’s(1980) paradox. To fulfl thisobjective, it examines Kahneman andTversky’s (1979) and Tversky andKahneman’s (1992) prospect theoryimplications in these frms. Thistheory emphasises the role ofreference or target return levels inanalysing risky choices. This studyhypothesises that below median (i.e.reference return level) frms inclineto be risk-seeking in light ofBowman’s paradoxical negativerisk-return association, and frmsabove the reference return levelwould be risk-averse. To investigatethe risk-return association, this studyuses accounting variables, namely,return on assets (i.e. ROA), return onshareholders’ equity (i.e. ROE), andthe capital ratio (i.e. CR) of NSE 500frms over the period 2001-2015. Bothfrm and cross-sectional industrymean returns for preceding fve yearson a rolling basis are used tocalculate the target return tomeasure distance from such targets(return measure) in line withFishburn’s (1977) concept. Kendall’s(1938) correlation test is used tomeasure the correlations betweensuch distance and the standarddeviation (risk measure) of theaccounting variables for the overallsample and controlled sector, size,age and risk sub-samples. For thepurpose of robustness, this study alsodevelops a multi-variate model withrisk as the dependent variable. On anoverall basis, Indian frms asrepresented by NSE 500 showsignifcant presence of the prospecttheory implications, and belowmedian frms exhibit presence ofBowman’s (1980) risk-return paradox.This is true for both the frm’s ownand cross-sectional industry meantarget return benchmarks. So, therisk-seeking attitude of frms belowmedian and the risk-averse behaviourof superior performers are clearlyevident from study results. Therobustness of correlation results isalso authenticated by multi-variateresults. We submit that this is thefrst study on Indian frms dealingwith their risk-attitudes from theprospect theory and Bowman’srisk-return paradox perspectives. So,the results would serve as a guide toin?uence future empirical studies onthis issue in a broader Indian andlarger emerging market context. Also,it will be of immense help to thesefrms and their managers, capitalmarket practitioners, shareholdersand regulators to work on theirrespective functional domains andskills in regard to their planning anddecision-making in this context.
机译:这项研究的目的是从行为角度分析NSE 500 frms的风险态度,特别是根据Bowman(1980)的悖论。为了实现这一目标,本文研究了这些框架中的卡尼曼和特维尔斯基(1979)以及特维尔斯基和卡尼曼(1992)的前景理论。该理论强调参考或目标回报水平在分析风险选择中的作用。这项研究假设,根据鲍曼(Bowman)悖论性的负风险-回报关联,低于中值(即参考收益水平)的frms倾向于寻求风险,而高于参考收益水平的风险则是规避风险的。为了调查风险回报率关联性,本研究使用会计变量,即2001-2015年期间NSE 500frms的资产回报率(ROA),股东权益回报率(ROE)和资本比率(CR)。过去五年来的frm和横截面行业平均收益率都是根据Fishburn(1977)的概念来计算目标收益率,以衡量与这些目标的距离(收益率)。肯德尔(Kendall,1938年)的相关性检验用于测量距离与总体样本以及受控部门,规模,年龄和风险子样本的会计变量的标准偏差(风险度量)之间的相关性。出于鲁棒性的目的,本研究还建立了以风险为因变量的多变量模型。总的来说,以NSE 500代表的印度公司显示出远大的前景含义,低于中位的公司则表现出鲍曼(1980)的风险收益悖论。这对于公司自身和行业平均目标收益基准都是如此。因此,从研究结果可以明显看出,中位数以下的frms的寻求风险态度和表现优异的投资者的规避风险行为。相关结果的稳健性也由多变量结果验证。我们认为这是从前景理论和鲍曼的风险收益悖论的角度对印度公司应对风险态度的最新研究。因此,研究结果将为在更广泛的印度和更大的新兴市场环境中影响该问题的未来实证研究提供指导。而且,这将对这些企业及其经理,资本市场从业者,股东和监管者在其各自的职能领域和技能方面进行巨大的帮助,以在此背景下进行计划和决策。

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