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The Future of Asian Regionalism: Not What It Used to Be?

机译:亚洲区域主义的未来:不是过去吗?

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Abstract The largely unexpected election of Donald Trump as President of the United States has overturned many assumptions and expectations about the future of Australia's regional relationships. Even before Trump's election, however, the history of regional evolution in East Asia presented a number of striking paradoxes and raised important questions about the forces that encourage or obstruct integration and cooperation at the regional level. For a region that has frequently been associated with comparatively limited cross-border political institutionalization and development, East Asia has recently been the centre of a large number of initiatives and proposals that are intended to give expression to particular visions of the region. We argue that the outcome of such regional processes is profoundly influenced by both geo-economic and geopolitical forces. We illustrate this claim by looking at the history of institutional development in the ?¢????Asia-Pacific?¢????, before considering the attempt to create a new ?¢????Indo-Pacific region?¢????, which, we suggest, has more to do with contemporary geopolitical concerns rather than any underlying ?¢????natural?¢???? coherence. The Australian policy-making community needs to think carefully about the implications of the Trump presidency for such initiatives.
机译:摘要唐纳德·特朗普是美国总统的主要是意想不到的大选推翻了许多假设和对澳大利亚的区域关系的未来预期。即使在特朗普的选举,但是,在东亚地区进化史提出了一些引人注目的矛盾,并提出了有关鼓励在区域一级或阻碍一体化和合作力量的重要问题。对于一个经常与相对有限的跨境政治制度化和发展相关联的地区,东亚最近成为了众多旨在表达对该地区特定愿景的倡议和提议的中心。我们认为,这种区域进程的结果受到地缘经济和地缘政治力量的深刻影响。在考虑尝试创建新的“印度太平洋地区”之前,我们先通过研究“亚太地区”机构发展的历史来说明这一主张。我们认为,这与当代地缘政治问题更多有关,而不是与任何潜在的自然因素有关。连贯性。澳大利亚决策界需要仔细考虑特朗普总统对此类倡议的影响。

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