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Livestock Production in the UK in the 21st Century: A Perfect Storm Averted?

机译:21世纪英国的畜牧生产:避免了一场完美的风暴?

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Simple Summary The global rise in demand for animal products for human consumption may well have an increasingly significant impact upon the natural environment, human health and the lives of farmed animals. This paper reviews some of the evidence for that impact and the future trajectories for livestock farming that it may well entail. Abstract There is a school of thought that future demand for meat and other farm animal products is unsustainable for several reasons, including greenhouse gas emissions, especially from ruminants; standards of farm animal health and welfare, especially when farm animals are kept intensively; efficiency of conversion by livestock of solar energy into (human) food, particularly by pigs and poultry; water availability and usage for all types of agricultural production, including livestock; and human health and consumption of meat, eggs and milk. Demand for meat is forecast to rise as a result of global population growth and increasing affluence. These issues buttress an impending perfect storm of food shortages, scarce water and insufficient energy, which is likely to coincide with global population reaching about 9 billion people in 2030 (pace Beddington). This paper examines global demand for animal products, the narrative of ‘sustainable intensification’ and the implications of each for the future of farm animal welfare. In the UK, we suggest that, though non-ruminant farming may become unsustainable, ruminant agriculture will continue to prosper because cows, sheep and goats utilize grass and other herbage that cannot be consumed directly by humans, especially on land that is unsuitable for other purposes. However, the demand for meat and other livestock-based food is often for pork, eggs and chicken from grain-fed pigs and poultry. The consequences of such a perfect storm are beginning to be incorporated in long-term business planning by retailers and others. Nevertheless, marketing sustainable animal produce will require considerable innovation and flair in public and private policies if marketing messages are to be optimized and consumer behaviour modified.
机译:简单总结全球对人类消费动物产品的需求的增长很可能对自然环境,人类健康和养殖动物的生活产生越来越大的影响。本文回顾了一些影响力的证据,以及可能带来的未来畜牧业发展轨迹。摘要有一种流派认为,未来对肉类和其他农用动物产品的需求是不可持续的,其原因有很多,包括温室气体的排放,特别是反刍动物的排放。农场动物健康和福利的标准,特别是在密集饲养农场动物时;牲畜将太阳能特别是猪和禽类转换为(人类)食品的效率;所有类型的农业生产(包括牲畜)的水供应和使用情况;以及人类健康以及肉,蛋和牛奶的消耗。由于全球人口增长和富裕程度增加,预计肉类需求将增加。这些问题支撑着即将来临的粮食短缺,水资源短缺和能源不足的完美风暴,这很可能与2030年全球人口达到约90亿的同时发生(佩丁·贝丁顿)。本文研究了全球对动物产品的需求,“可持续集约化”的叙述以及每种对农场动物福利的影响。在英国,我们建议,尽管非反刍农业可能会变得不可持续,但反刍动物农业将继续繁荣,因为母牛,绵羊和山羊利用草木和其他人类无法直接食用的草料,特别是在不适合其他人的土地上目的。但是,对肉类和其他以牲畜为基础的食品的需求通常来自谷物饲喂的猪和禽类的猪肉,鸡蛋和鸡肉。零售商和其他公司已将这种完美风暴的后果纳入长期业务规划中。然而,如果要优化营销信息和改变消费者行为,则可持续动物产品的营销将需要在公共和私人政策方面进行相当大的创新和创新。

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