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Determining Solvency and Insolvency of Commercial Banks in Nigeria

机译:确定尼日利亚商业银行的偿付能力和破产能力

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This paper presents the application of artificial intelligence technique to develop a Multi-Layer Perceptron neural network model for determining the status (solvent or insolvent) of commercial banks in Nigeria. The common traditional classification techniques based on statistical parametric methods are constraint to fulfill certain assumptions. When those assumptions fail, the techniques do not often give sufficient descriptive accuracy in classifying the status of the banks. However, a class of feed-forward architecture of neural network known as Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) is not constraint by those parametric assumptions and offers good classification technique that competes well with the traditional statistical parametric techniques. In this study, data were sourced from the central bank of Nigeria and financial reports of the commercial banks in Nigeria. The banks specific variable of age, history of merger, time, total assets and total revenue are used as the input variables to the neural network. The solvency or insolvency as status are the two possible outputs of the neural network for each commercial bank in the period of 1994-2015. The developed MLP neural network model has 5 input neurons, 3 hidden neurons and 1 output neuron. Sigmoid activation function for the hidden neurons and "purelin" transfer function for the output neurons were utilized in training the MLP neural network. The results demonstrate that MLP neural networks are a viable technique for status classification of commercial banks in Nigeria.
机译:本文介绍了人工智能技术在建立多层Perceptron神经网络模型中的应用,该模型可用于确定尼日利亚商业银行的状况(有偿还还是无偿还)。基于统计参数方法的常见传统分类技术受到约束,无法满足某些假设。当这些假设失败时,该技术通常无法在分类银行状况时提供足够的描述准确性。但是,称为多层感知器(MLP)的一类神经网络前馈结构不受这些参数假设的限制,并提供了与传统统计参数技术相竞争的良好分类技术。在这项研究中,数据来自尼日利亚中央银行和尼日利亚商业银行的财务报告。银行的特定年龄,合并历史,时间,总资产和总收入的特定变量用作神经网络的输入变量。 1994年至2015年期间,作为状态的偿付能力或破产是每个商业银行神经网络的两个可能输出。所开发的MLP神经网络模型具有5个输入神经元,3个隐藏神经元和1个输出神经元。隐藏神经元的乙状结肠激活功能和输出神经元的“ purelin”传递函数被用于训练MLP神经网络。结果表明,MLP神经网络是尼日利亚商业银行地位分类的可行技术。

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