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Searching for a Target Traveling between a Hiding Area and an Operating Area over Multiple Routes

机译:在多条路线上搜索隐藏区域和操作区域之间的目标

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We consider the problem of searching for a target that moves between a hiding area and an operating area over multiple fixed routes. The search is carried out with one or more cookie-cutter sensors, which can detect the target instantly once the target comes within the detection radius of the sensor. In the hiding area, the target is shielded from being detected. The residence times of the target, respectively, in the hiding area and in the operating area, are exponentially distributed. These dwell times are mathematically described by Markov transition rates. The decision of which route the target will take on each travel to and back from the operating area is governed by a probability distribution. We study the mathematical formulation of this search problem and analytically solve for the mean time to detection. Based on the mean time to capture, we evaluate the performance of placing the searcher(s) to monitor various travel route(s) or to scan the operating area. The optimal search design is the one that minimizes the mean time to detection. We find that in many situations the optimal search design is not the one suggested by the straightforward intuition. Our analytical results can provide operational guidances to homeland security, military, and law enforcement applications.
机译:我们考虑在多个固定路线上搜索在隐藏区域和操作区域之间移动的目标的问题。搜索使用一个或多个切饼刀传感器进行,一旦目标物进入传感器的检测半径之内,它们就可以立即检测到目标物。在隐藏区域中,屏蔽了目标,使其不被检测到。目标分别在隐藏区域和操作区域中的停留时间呈指数分布。这些停留时间在数学上用马尔可夫跃迁速率描述。目标在每次往返操作区域的路线上将采用哪条路线的决定取决于概率分布。我们研究了该搜索问题的数学公式,并分析性地解决了平均检测时间。根据平均捕获时间,我们评估放置搜索器以监视各种行驶路线或扫描操作区域的性能。最佳搜索设计是一种将平均检测时间最小化的设计。我们发现,在许多情况下,最佳搜索设计并不是直觉所暗示的。我们的分析结果可以为国土安全,军事和执法应用提供操作指导。

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