Comparison of HadCM3, CSIRO Mk3 and GFDL CM2.1 in Prediction the Climate Change in Taleghan River Basin

摘要

Climate change is a complex and long-term global atmospheric-oceanic phenomenon which can be influenced by natural factors such as volcanoes, solar, oceans and atmosphere activities which they have interactions between or may be as a result of human activities. Atmospheric general circulation models are developed for simulation of current climate of the earth and are able to predict the earth's future climate change. In this paper, the performance of GFDL CM2.1, CSIRO Mk3 and HadCM3 AOGCMs were assessed and evaluated in the study of the climate change effects on temperature and precipitation in Taleghan basin. The results show that HadCM3 model in comparison with CSIRO Mk3 and GFDL CM2.1 models has indicated the better performance in this region.