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Liquid-Solid Partitioning of Precipitation along an Altitude Gradient and Its Statistical Properties: An Italian Case Study

机译:沿高度梯度的降水固液分配及其统计特性:意大利案例研究

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Climate change is a living topic when dealing with modern natural sciences. The increase in the average air temperature, as measured in the last decades, is considered as the most relevant effect of climate change on the Earth system. Since the air temperature has a key role in determining the partitioning between liquid and solid precipitation events at a site, important changes in rainfall dynamics are expected, especially in mountainous areas. Thus, an important issue for modern hydrology is to determine how climate change would affect the liquid-solid partitioning of precipitation and its statistical properties. The main aim here is to determine, via statistical analysis and goodness-of-fit tests, whether the duration of precipitation events under the different forms (namely solid, liquid and mixed) may be characterized by the same probability distribution. Similar issue is tested for the volume of precipitation. For this aim, our study pays attention to hourly data collected along an altitude gradient identified through six automatic weather stations in Trentino region, northeast Italy. To distinguish the different types of events from observed heated pluviometers’ data, a partitioning procedure has been used and validated, through some disdrometer data. Sample data of duration and volume, relatively to solid, liquid and mixed events, are extracted, and univariate and bivariate statistics are calculated. Then, the two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is used to test if the data distinguished by different types of precipitation can be considered extracted from the same distribution. The results showed that in most cases, durations, as well as volumes of the different types of events, cannot be considered equally distributed. This consideration is particularly clear at high elevations.
机译:在处理现代自然科学时,气候变化是一个鲜活的话题。最近几十年来测得的平均气温升高被认为是气候变化对地球系统的最重要影响。由于空气温度在确定场地中液体和固体降水事件之间的分配中起着关键作用,因此预计降雨动态会发生重要变化,尤其是在山区。因此,现代水文学的一个重要问题是确定气候变化将如何影响降水的液固分配及其统计特性。这里的主要目的是通过统计分析和拟合优度检验来确定不同形式(即固体,液体和混合形式)下降水事件的持续时间是否可以用相同的概率分布来表征。对降水量也进行了类似的测试。为此,我们的研究关注通过意大利东北部特伦蒂诺地区的六个自动气象站确定的沿海拔梯度收集的每小时数据。为了区分观测到的加热式测湿仪数据的不同类型的事件,已使用了分区程序并通过一些测速仪数据进行了验证。提取持续时间和体积相对于固体,液体和混合事件的样本数据,并计算单变量和双变量统计量。然后,使用两个样本的Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验来测试是否可以考虑从同一分布中提取不同降水类型的数据。结果表明,在大多数情况下,持续时间以及不同类型事件的数量不能视为均等分布。在高海拔地区,这一考虑尤其明显。

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