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Extreme precipitation events in NW Greece

机译:希腊西北部的极端降水事件

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In this work, the extreme precipitation events in NW Greece are studied. Thedata used are daily precipitation totals recorded at the meteorologicalstation of Ioannina University for the period 1970–2002. 156 days withprecipitation totals above 35 mm (5% upper limit) are only considered. Itis seen that, a minimum frequency of extreme precipitation events appears inthe period 1986–1991, which is characterized by a high positive NAO index. Foreach of the 156 extreme precipitation days, at first, the mean sea levelpressure pattern over Europe is constructed by using 273 grid point values.Using Factor Analysis, the dimensionality of the 156×273 data matrix isreduced to 156×5 (84% of the total variance) and then, Cluster Analysisis applied on the results of Factor Analysis. Thus, the 156 cases aregrouped objectively to 11 clusters, revealing the main pressure patterns,which favour extreme precipitation in NW Greece. Seven of the patterns areencountered in winter and autumn, while three of them cover a period fromautumn to spring and one appears mainly in summer. In all of them the causeof the extreme precipitation event is a low pressure system centred west ofGreece or a low pressure trough extended eastwards or southwards up toGreece. In some cases the depression is so strong and extended that itcovers the whole Europe and the Mediterranean. In the single summer pattern,rainfall is caused by an extension of the SW Asia thermal low up to thecentral Mediterranean.
机译:在这项工作中,研究了西北希腊的极端降水事件。所使用的数据是1970-2002年约阿尼纳大学气象站记录的每日降水总量。仅考虑156天的降水总量超过35毫米(上限为5%)。可以看出,极端降水事件的最小频率出现在1986-1991年期间,其特征是NAO指数较高。对于156个极端降水日,首先使用273个网格点值来构建欧洲的平均海平面压力模式。使用因子分析,将156×273数据矩阵的维数减少为156×5(占84%总方差),然后将聚类分析应用于因子分析的结果。因此,将156个案例客观地分为11个类群,揭示了主要的压力模式,这有利于西北希腊的极端降水。其中有7种模式发生在冬季和秋季,而3种模式涵盖了从秋季到春季的时期,其中一种主要出现在夏季。所有这些导致极端降水事件的原因是以希腊西部为中心的低压系统或向东或向南延伸至希腊的低压槽。在某些情况下,低气压是如此之强且延伸到覆盖整个欧洲和地中海。在单一夏季模式中,降雨是由于西南亚低热一直延伸到地中海中部造成的。

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