Vehicular Fleet Expansion and Accidents Variation Numbers: A Contribution to the Analysis of the D. Pedro I-Tamoios Exporter Road Axis

摘要

Aims: This paper aims to analyse the evolution of the fleet of vehicles on the D. Pedro I ExportCorridor Axis, in the period 1998-2016 and its potential relationship with vehicle accident mortalityrates with two municipalities cut by this route - Atibaia and Caraguatatuba.Study Design: The focus was to investigate to what extent the intensification of the current fleetcan be related as a factor directly responsible for the increase of the occurrence of accidents, usingas an indicator for this measurement the mortality rate due to accidents of Traffic.Place and Duration of Study: Study realized in S?o Paulo State, Brazil, for 36 months, from July2015 to July 2018. The data used and analysed to diverse indicators were from 1998 to 2016.Methodology: The methodology for the analysis of the intensification of the current fleet in thestudied region was based on the comparison between the evolution figures of the fleets and themortality rates due to transport accidents. In this way, all values were arranged on an identicalhorizontal axis (referring to the years), to show possible correlations.Results: The relationship between the circulation fleet increase and the increase of accidentsrepresents the negative impact of the processes of social and environmental changes that areoccurring in the region. These processes link urbanisation, risks and vulnerability due to the lack ofadequate urban planning and road safety infrastructure that exposes the population of thesemunicipalities to a higher risk of accidents.Conclusion: The data on the evolution of vehicle fleet in the exporting Corridor unequivocallyevidences an accelerated urbanisation process, while mortality rates indicate the absence orinefficiency of public sector-oriented police and the health of the population, which hinder thisprocess and may indicate negative impacts on society as a whole.