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首页> 外文期刊>Current Journal of Applied Science and Technology >Rainfall Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for tarai Region of Uttarakhand
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Rainfall Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for tarai Region of Uttarakhand

机译:使用人工神经网络(ANN)预测北阿坎德邦塔莱地区的降雨量

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Rainfall prediction is clearly of great importance for any country. One would like to make long term prediction, i.e. predict total monsoon rainfall a few weeks or months and in advance short term prediction, i.e. predict rainfall over different locations a few days in advance [1]. Predicted by using its correlation with observed parameter. Several regression and neural network based models are currently available. While Artificial Neural Network provide a great deal of promise, they also embody much uncertainty [2,3]. In this paper, different artificial neural network models have been created for the rainfall prediction of Uttarakhand region in India. These ANN models were created using training algorithms namely, feed-forward back propagation algorithm [4,5]. The number of neurons for all the models was kept at 10. The mean squared error was measured for each model and the best accuracy was obtained by the feed-forward back propagation algorithm with MSE value as low as 0.00547823.
机译:降雨预测显然对任何国家都非常重要。人们想进行长期预测,即预测数周或数月的总季风降水,并提前进行短期预测,即提前数天预测不同地区的降雨[1]。通过使用其与观测参数的相关性进行预测。当前有几种基于回归和神经网络的模型。虽然人工神经网络提供了很大的希望,但它们也体现了很多不确定性[2,3]。在本文中,已经创建了不同的人工神经网络模型来预测印度北阿坎德邦地区的降雨量。这些ANN模型是使用训练算法即前馈反向传播算法[4,5]创建的。所有模型的神经元数量保持为10。测量每个模型的均方误差,并通过MSE值低至0.00547823的前馈反向传播算法获得最佳精度。

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