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Evolutionary Game Dynamics for Financial Risk Decision-Making in Global Supply Chain

机译:全球供应链中金融风险决策的演化博弈动力学

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摘要

This paper focuses on the game evolution process and its influencing factors of financial risk cooperation behavior between suppliers and manufacturers in global supply chain system. Using two-population evolutionary game theory, the performance of supply chain members under financial risk environment is modeled. Further, the proposed financial risk game model is applied to simulation cases of global supply chain. Based on the theory analysis and simulation results, it is shown that the cooperation strategy is the optimal evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) for all supply chain members, when facing the high financial risk. The financial risk-sharing coefficient can be regarded as an adjuster that affects risk ESS of both suppliers and manufacturers under the low financial risk setting. By reducing the financial risk-sharing ratio of one supply chain player, his intention of adopting cooperation strategy would be enhanced. Finally, it is observed that financial risk sharing approach may lead to the alignment among supply chain members. Therefore, setting up an effective financial risk-sharing mechanism is beneficial to realize sustainable development of global supply chain.
机译:本文重点研究了全球供应链系统中供应商与制造商之间金融风险合作行为的博弈演化过程及其影响因素。利用两种群进化博弈理论,对金融风险环境下供应链成员的绩效进行了建模。此外,所提出的金融风险博弈模型被应用于全球供应链的模拟案例。基于理论分析和仿真结果表明,在面临高财务风险的情况下,合作策略是所有供应链成员的最优进化稳定策略。金融风险分担系数可以看作是在低金融风险设置下影响供应商和制造商的风险ESS的调节器。通过降低一个供应链参与者的财务风险分担比率,他采用合作战略的意图将得到增强。最后,观察到财务风险分担方法可能导致供应链成员之间的一致。因此,建立有效的金融风险分担机制有利于实现全球供应链的可持续发展。

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