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Projected climate change impact on oceanic acidification

机译:预计的气候变化对海洋酸化的影响

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Background Anthropogenic CO2 uptake by the ocean decreases the pH of seawater, leading to an 'acidification' which may have potential detrimental consequences on marine organisms [1]. Ocean warming or circulation alterations induced by climate change has the potential to slowdown the rate of acidification of ocean waters by decreasing the amount of CO2 uptake by the ocean [2]. However, a recent study showed that climate change affected the decrease in pH insignificantly [3]. Here, we examine the sensitivity of future oceanic acidification to climate change feedbacks within a coupled atmosphere-ocean model and find that ocean warming dominates the climate change feedbacks. Results Our results show that the direct decrease in pH due to ocean warming is approximately equal to but opposite in magnitude to the indirect increase in pH associated with ocean warming (ie reduced DIC concentration of the upper ocean caused by lower solubility of CO2). Conclusion As climate change feedbacks on pH approximately cancel, future oceanic acidification will closely follow future atmospheric CO2 concentrations. This suggests the only way to slowdown or mitigate the potential biological consequences of future ocean acidification is to significantly reduce fossil-fuel emissions of CO2 to the atmosphere.
机译:背景技术海洋人为吸收的CO2会降低海水的pH值,从而导致“酸化”,这可能会对海洋生物产生潜在的有害影响[1]。气候变化引起的海洋变暖或环流变化有可能通过减少海洋对二氧化碳的吸收来减慢海水酸化的速度[2]。但是,最近的一项研究表明,气候变化对pH值的降低影响不显着[3]。在这里,我们在耦合的海洋-海洋模型中研究了未来海洋酸化对气候变化反馈的敏感性,并发现海洋变暖主导了气候变化反馈。结果我们的结果表明,由于海洋变暖而导致的pH值直接下降与与海洋变暖相关的pH值间接增加(即由较低的CO2溶解度导致的上层海洋DIC浓度降低)近似等于但在相反的程度上。结论随着有关pH值的气候变化反馈几乎取消,未来的海洋酸化将密切关注未来的大气CO2浓度。这表明减慢或减轻未来海洋酸化的潜在生物后果的唯一方法是显着减少向大气排放二氧化碳的化石燃料。

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