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首页> 外文期刊>Chinese journal of cancer >Differential incidence trends of colon and rectal cancers in Hong Kong: an age-period-cohort analysis
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Differential incidence trends of colon and rectal cancers in Hong Kong: an age-period-cohort analysis

机译:香港大肠癌和直肠癌的发病率差异趋势:年龄-年龄组分析

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Background Colorectal cancer has been the second most common cancer among men and women in Hong Kong since 2012, but the underlying reasons for this increase remain unclear. We describe the incidence trend for colorectal cancer in Hong Kong to explore its etiology within this population. Methods The temporal trends in colorectal cancer incidence between 1983 and 2012 were analyzed with joinpoint regressions by sex, age groups, and anatomic sites among adults using data from the Hong Kong Cancer Registry. An age-period-cohort analysis was used to evaluate the effects of age, calendar periods, and birth cohorts on the observed temporal trends. Results The incidence of colon cancer among those aged 50?years and older in both sexes increased steadily from 1983 until the mid-1990s and was followed by a slight decrease thereafter, whereas the incidence among those aged 20–49?years decreased steadily from 1983 to 2012. In contrast, the incidence of rectal cancer steadily increased in men and remained stable in women throughout the study period. Significant period and birth cohort effects were observed for colon cancer, whereas period effects on the temporal trends were observed for male rectal cancer. Conclusions The incidences of colon and rectal cancers have exhibited divergent patterns between 1983 and 2012 in Hong Kong, indicating heterogeneous etiologies between these two types of cancers. Surveillance of the risk factors related to colon and rectal cancers in the Hong Kong population should be performed, and the increased rectal cancer incidence in males is worthy of extra attention.
机译:背景自2012年以来,结直肠癌一直是香港男性和女性中第二大常见癌症,但这种增加的根本原因尚不清楚。我们描述了香港结直肠癌的发病趋势,以探讨其在该人群中的病因。方法使用香港癌症登记处的数据,按性别,年龄组和成年人的解剖部位进行联合回归分析,分析了1983年至2012年大肠癌发生的时间趋势。年龄组分析用于评估年龄,日历时期和出生组对观察到的时间趋势的影响。结果从1983年到1990年代中期,年龄在50岁以上的男女中结肠癌的发病率稳步上升,此后略有下降,而从1983年开始,在20-49岁的年龄中的发病率稳步下降。到2012年。相反,在整个研究期间,男性的直肠癌发病率稳步上升,而女性则保持稳定。结肠癌观察到显着的时期和出生队列效应,而男性直肠癌观察到对时间趋势的时期效应。结论在香港,1983年至2012年间,结肠癌和直肠癌的发病率表现出不同的模式,这表明这两种类型的癌症之间存在不同的病因。应对香港人群中与结肠癌和直肠癌相关的危险因素进行监测,男性直肠癌发病率的增加值得特别注意。

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