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Pig and herd level prevalence of Toxoplasma gondii in Ontario finisher pigs in 2001, 2003, and 2004

机译:2001、2003和2004年安大略省育成猪中弓形虫的猪群和猪群患病率

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The objective of this study was to estimate the apparent and true prevalence of exposure to Toxoplasma gondii in Ontario finisher pigs. During the study period (2001 to 2004), sera from 6048 pigs were tested with a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA); 103 farms were included 1 to 3 times in the study. True prevalence was estimated using a Bayesian approach. Apparent prevalence at the pig level was 1.59% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.45, 2.99] in 2001, 0.06% (95% CI: 0.00, 0.46) in 2003, and 0.26% (95% CI: 0.00, 0.82) in 2004. Apparent prevalence at the herd-level was 13.7% (95% CI: 7.5, 22.3) in 2001; 1.25% (95% CI: 0.03, 6.77) in 2003, and 3.75% (95% CI: 0.78, 10.6) in 2004. Similarly, posterior Bayesian estimates of true prevalence at the pig level were 1.7% [95% probability interval (PI): 1.2, 2.2] in 2001, 0.2% (95% PI: 0.04, 0.4) in 2003, and 0.3% (95% PI: 0.1, 0.7) in 2004. At the herd level, posterior estimates of prevalence were 11.6% (95% PI: 7.4, 16.8) in 2001, 0% (95% PI: 0.0, 2.5) in 2003, and 1.2% (95% PI: 0.0, 5.0) in 2004 when a herd cut-point ≥ 1 was used. Exposure to T. gondii in finishing pig farms in Ontario appears to be infrequent.
机译:这项研究的目的是评估安大略省育肥猪中弓形虫暴露的表观和真实患病率。在研究期间(2001年至2004年),对6048头猪的血清进行了商业化酶联免疫吸附试验(ELISA)的检测。研究中将103个农场纳入1至3次。使用贝叶斯方法估计真实患病率。 2001年猪的表观患病率为1.59%[95%置信区间(CI):0.45,2.99],2003年为0.06%(95%CI:0.00,0.46),0.26%(95%CI:0.00,0.82) )在2004年。2001年在畜群一级的明显患病率为13.7%(95%CI:7.5,22.3); 2003年为1.25%(95%CI:0.03,6.77),2004年为3.75%(95%CI:0.78,10.6)。同样,后贝叶斯估计猪水平的实际患病率为1.7%[95%概率区间( PI):2001年为1.2、2.2],2003年为0.2%(95%PI:0.04,0.4),2004年为0.3%(95%PI:0.1,0.7)。在畜群水平,后患病率估计为11.6 2001年的百分比(95%PI:7.4,16.8),2003年的0%(95%PI:0.0,2.5)和2004年的1.2%(95%PI:0.0,5.0)是当畜群切入点≥1时用过的。在安大略省的肥育猪场中很少接触到弓形虫。

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